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Old 09-01-2007, 12:52 PM
tangerine tangerine is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 65
Default Re: Sit \'n Go Strategy study group -- Part I: Low Blind Play

I have not buy the book yet, but trying to work out example 1-4 using details provided by Slim.

blinds 30/60
Case 1 (Hero folds)
MP1 raise t200, Hero folds, Co and Button call
(*Using Slim's assumption, MP1 bet flop all folds)
Hero $equity 10.8%

Case 2 (Hero pushes and everyone fold)
Hero $equity 14.2%

Case 3 (Hero pushes, MP1 call but CO and button fold, and WIN)
(Assume CO and Button will never overcall, or they will call if MP1 fold)
Hero $equity 21.8%

Case 4 (Hero pushes, get called, and lose)
Hero $equity 0%

Using Slim's range
Initial raise: 22+,A9s+,KJs+,QJs,ATo+,KJo+ (12.1%)
Call a push: 66+,AJs+,AQo+,KQs,KJo (6.86%)

So MP1 will call (6.86/12.1*100) 56.7% of the time and fold 43.4 of the time.

PokerStove
equity

49.482% { AKo }

50.518% { 66+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }

$Equity when Hero pushes
(0.434*0.142)+(0.567*0.4948*0.218)+0=12%

Since Hero $equity when he/she pushes is higher than when he/she fold
so Push is a better option?

Slim, may I know where could I find the spreadsheet with ICM functions that you mentioned in this post earlier?

*Could you send to me as well?

Thanks
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