Thread: Badly Played?
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Old 08-28-2007, 08:17 PM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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Default Re: Badly Played?

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If you aren't happy with AQ on this flop after this preflop action, you are setting your standards way too high, and you just won't get enough monsters to avoid blinding down.

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If a player limps with AK (which is not a rare play given AK) then they are unlikely to reraise...


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First, it isn't very likely for AK to be out there. Second, it isn't very likely for someone to play AK that passively preflop. The limps and calls are evidence that AK isn't out there. It's not bulletproof evidence, but that's the way to bet, and it is not close. Third, the probability drops further when you see another ace on the flop, leaving only 8 combinations of AK instead of 12.

It's really strange that you are bringing up AK as a possibility and advising caution when no one else has shown any aggression in this hand (by the point at whicj you recommended checking). AJ and AT start with twice as many combinations, are more likely to be played passively, and will still pay you off here. People may be playing lower aces, too. You are more than twice as likely to be crushing someone with kicker problems than you are to be behind AK. You don't have room to find out whether you are up against AT, AJ, or AK until showdown.

Again, if you aren't willing to put your stack in with AQo on this flop with a stack that is not much larger than the pot, you are going to blind down unless you get hit by the deck. You don't flop quads very frequently, and you should recognize top pair, second kicker, as a very strong hand with these stack sizes.
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