[TimberBee]

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Because the majority of his range is pairs that will call a bet (this is like the no 1 way to make money at SSNL - people call too much), but check behind if we check and flush draws (which don't bluff the river nearly as often as you think. Saying they definitely bet river is ridiculously naive). He doesn't turn up with Qx as much as the midpairs given turn and river and the fact it would be the case Q. Also checking and betting are pretty similar vs Qx anyway since they are raising if we lead like half-pot anyway.

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No sure, they far from always bluff the river, but that doesn't matter because they are never calling a bet either, so the best line against a FD is without doubt to check.

And I disagree that Qx is raising a third barrel on this flop always, but i think they bet very often if we check.

I still like the c/r better..