View Single Post
  #36  
Old 08-20-2007, 12:51 PM
Fingerswinger Fingerswinger is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: crazy monkey tilt imo!
Posts: 341
Default Re: QQ on J high flop, reraised pot (200NL)

[ QUOTE ]
you aren't getting it. We are ahead a TON here, and when we are behind we have good outs. The only 2 hands that suck are KK and AA with a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

obviously i don't get it!

i assume this is what he calls our shove with:

Board: Jd 3d 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 30.899% 29.31% 01.59% 5803 315.00 { QcQd }
Hand 1: 69.101% 67.51% 01.59% 13367 315.00 { JJ+, AdKd, AcKd, AdKh, AdKs }


so everytime he calls, we lose $70 in equity. (have i calculated this correctly?)
each time he folds, we collect $92 from the pot.

meaning he hast to fold a bit less than half of the times for our shove to be +ev. so his c-betting range has to include almost twice as many hands as his "call a shove" range. this might very well be the case, but again, i don't see how it could include like 4 times as many hands, making a shove "hugely +ev".
Reply With Quote