Re: FTP $24 - overcall with AA on a dangerous flop?
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But are we really a favorite to win given that we have no re-draws besides a backdoor straight? I am kind of doubting that. I see a straight draw, a flush draw and a possible 2 pair (JQ on board) that people love to limp with. I am not sure that a push is so clear cut here. I did end up folding here, btw [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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I'm sort of with you here--I don't think we're ahead by that much. I think we're ahead most of the time at the moment, but not by much for the reasons you stated above--two pairs, flush and straight draws. Best case scenario you're dominating BB's smaller pp and UTG has a flush draw. I think the shove is the right decision, because if you win you're pretty much set (you're ahead right now in all likelihood) to make the money, but I do agree that it's not a clear cut deccision.
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