[ValarMorghulis]

I just saw this post from lefort (from a BBV thread about HEK) and think it's true and could apply here.
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Nice post... but dude, you`ve been around long enough that you should know that variance is so huge. You obviously ran hot back in the day, then ran awfully for a while, and now are running well again. Dont get lost in the swings and tell yourself youre playing "your best", "much better", or "horribly". Ive never understood how players who have played so many hands can do this... I mean you generally apply the same knowledge every time you play. Unless you are on monkey tilt, you are generally always playing your "best".. if you make a "big call" where quite often you will be wrong, and you are right, you are "playing great".. but when you are wrong, you are "playing bad, on tilt, etc.." Just accept the fact that poker involves a ton of frequencies and short-term luck.. atleast thats how I see it..


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Variance is way bigger than people think/want to believe. When you're running well you think you are playing well and when you run badly you think you must be playing badly.

So, take your beats like a man, use bankroll management and keep evaluating your play. Downswings tend to focus the mind, you want to make sure very dollar spent is well spent. Was that cbet +EV?/Could I have gotten more value from that set? etc. If you do this, you should come out the other end a better player.