Thread: Just. Bet. Pot.
View Single Post
  #10  
Old 03-08-2006, 10:22 AM
binions binions is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Toronto, CA
Posts: 2,070
Default Re: Just. Bet. Pot.

[ QUOTE ]
I have always consistently heard of concepts revolving around making continuation bets of 2/3 to 3/4 the pot on the flop.

in my 1/2 NL play I have reverted to just making pot sized bets almost as if I was pressing a phantom "bet pot" button and for the most part I feel like my game has changed dramatically as it masks my holdings a lot more effectively and I'm stacking people more. Mind you this involves continuation bets and more pot bets on the turn.

I dunno, any merit to this? It just feels easier and better. Am I being tricked?

[/ QUOTE ]

When you c-bet the amount of the pot with air or a marginal holding where you hope they fold, they have to fold 50% of the time to make your bet break-even.

When you c-bet 60% of the pot with a hand that is looking for a fold, then it only has to work 38% of the time.

(Bet 60 at 100 pot. 38% they fold and you win $100 = $38 equity. 62% they call and you lose $60 = -$37.2 equity).

The thing is, betting 60% of the pot with your good hands only gives them 2.7:1 odds. If they call with a flush draw or a straight draw or middle pair, they are making a mistake (unless you routinely pay them off, making their implied odds adequate).

And that's what NLHE is about. Getting them to make mistakes.

Sure, sometimes they will have a big draw, and will be getting the right price.

But, sometimes, when you bet pot, they will occasionally fold these weak draws that they would have called for 60% of the pot. In other words, your bet makes them play more correctly.

By the way - they will still call pot with their big draws.
Reply With Quote