Re: NCAAF Team totals plays
Boot - I got mine on The Greek.
rsigley - I agree that Rutgers isn't that good. Tread carefully though because their schedule is incredibly easy. I believe their road games are Army, UConn, Syracuse, and Louisville. Four road games with Louisville being the only really tough game. Ya, they most likely lose to WVU too, but they get mostly home games.
lotus - MyTurn is about right here. I set aside a certain amount just for this purpose this season as I figured there would be at least a couple with value. I also wanted ND, but it went to -150 from -115 on The Greek.
KU - I feel that 6 is the right line. My research of this team turns up a very average, vanilla type team.
Sep 1 C. Michigan 7:00pm
Sep 8 Southeastern Louisiana 7:00pm
Sep 15 Toledo 7:00pm
Sep 22 Fla. International 7:00pm
Oct 6 @Kansas St. TBA
Oct 13 Baylor TBA
Oct 20 @Colorado TBA
Oct 27 @Texas A&M 1:00pm
Nov 3 Nebraska TBA
Nov 10 @Oklahoma St. TBA
Nov 17 Iowa St. TBA
Nov 24 Missouri TBA
In theory, they should beat CMU, SE LA, Toledo, Fla. Int, Baylor, and Iowa St.
Their remaining games are: @Kansas St., @Colorado, @Oklahoma St, @Texas A&M, Missouri, Nebraska
They will be prohibitive underdogs @OK St. and @A&M, and I can't see them winning there.
Missouri and Nebraska are at home, but they are projected to be atop the conference (though I could envision Kansas stealing one from Missouri)
KSU and Colorado are projected to be in the middle/bottom of the conference, but they get them on the road. I think winning one of these two would be the key to them winning 7 games.
How many of the tougher six games do you expect them to win? Also, while they will be favored in the first six, CMU and Toledo are no joke. I am actually leaning toward CMU +8 in their opener. They also lost @Toledo in 2 overtimes last season as 4 point underdogs. Toledo should also be much improved this season, so that will be a tough one.
Something tells me that they go 5-1 in the first set of games and 1-5/2-4 in the 2nd set. So, I pretty much think six is the right number with a slight lean toward the over. I wouls take the over if anything, but I don't think there is enough value in it either way as of right now.
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