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Old 07-31-2007, 08:45 PM
LucidDream LucidDream is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: watching my winrate decline
Posts: 2,012
Default Re: Breaking development: Pokerstars to be sued for cheating

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BEAT: FGators actually has a bit of truth in his statement
I've looked at tens of thousands of allin confrontations and found something very, very strange; The best hand does not hold up near as often as it should. It's statistically significant and pretty damning. There is absolutely no way things are on the up and up from the data set I have examined.

BRAG: The opponents suck enough on the whole that it's still +ev for me.

VARIANCE: Found the same phenomenoma with a decent size sample from OnGame.



METHOD: Used a SQL query to pull out allin confrontations where both sets of hole cards were known. Calculated the odds/ pot equity based on the known hole cards and board. Became evident that the best hand was doing quite poorly on a few summary stats and ocular examination. Then, ran monte carlos to see how poorly the favored hand does in reality compared to thousands of random trials. It was UGLY!


It's rigged, but I don't think I want to bring out everything as it is my source of income.

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BTW people used to say this all the time and send me their data at PokerStars while I worked there.

I crushed every single one of them, and I would love to do it to MT2R and FGators. It was the best part of my job.

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lol@you "crushed everyone of them"

By "crushing" them, were you sending the standard e-mail that support sends out a million times a day.

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LOL
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