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Old 07-30-2007, 05:56 PM
Bremen Bremen is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Default Re: ***Official 2007 Philadelphia Phillies Thread***

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Just saw this and thought it was pretty interesting

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/st...ps_oddselo.php

These are the playoff odds from Baseball Prospectus when adjusted using ELO scores. ELO scores look to "rate" teams based on their current form and gives them a score, much like a chess or Scrabble rating.

On this page, the Pct3 column is the ELO rating for the teams. According to this, the Phillies are the best team in the NL.

Coinflip for the playoffs...Can we land on the good side for once?

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ELO ratings are a bit sensitive to recent results. The top teams have all struggled a bit lately. However you don't get many points for beating bad teams either, so it is slightly shocking they're ranked first. If they still are after the Cubs/Brewers than we'll be sitting very pretty.
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