Re: Sunday Million- Raymer\'s bustout hand
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obviously my most likely hand is ak however my range is not any pp. it is qq and jj and possibly 99.
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So given your incredibly tight range of 99-QQ and AK, he's 47.4 to 52.6 and needs 1.11:1 to call.
He's getting 1.09:1.
Now keep in mind this is for that range, which I think you should definitely take QQ out of at least partially - if you take out 2 of the combinations of QQ now suddenly Raymer is 50/50 vs. your range, and still your range is incredibly tight.
What are you doing with AQ here? Are you really flatting PPs <9s?
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I havn't done any math or anything, but I do not think QQ should be discounted. 99 should be eliminated or discounted at least 50%. Also, since the guy is an unknown, I don't think Raymer can totally eliminate KK-AA from his range. Maybe count 2 combos of KK and 1 of AA?
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