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Old 07-29-2007, 03:42 AM
emon87 emon87 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Evanston, IL.
Posts: 3,826
Default Re: options (finance)

The point is that dollar movements don't make a market behave in a bearish way as it affects short term trading. If you were investing for long term growth, then you would absolutely be interested in how the dollar's movement affects the returns you get from American investments vs. foreign investments.

However, as a short term trader, you are interested not in the underlying value of a company but rather in using short term movements to make a profit. Many/most day traders know little about the companies behind the stocks that they are trading - some don't even know the actual name of the company! Rahter, they are focusing on those stocks because of easy to predict fluctuations.

In a bull market, the trend is upward and the volatility is relatively lower with high predictability of movement. In a bear markert, the swings are crazy and predictability goes to hell. Systems that worked for predicting movements in a bull market are worthless. As far as trading goes, the market recently has DEFINITELY been a bull market.
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