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Old 07-27-2007, 02:23 AM
curtains curtains is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
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Default Re: Sklansky Bucks Calculator: PokerEV

[ QUOTE ]
There is also one calculation that might affect short stackers. When you go all in preflop, and there are others left to act with a lot of money left behind, one player could potentially bet another out of the pot on a later street, skewing the set of opponents hands that see showdown. Thanks to curtains who spotted this. It shouldn't affect full stackers (as so much money will have gone in already), and according to curtains it occurs in around 1 hand in 2000 for shorstackers. I don't know how much this would distort luck results ( I suspect very little, since the effect is rare, fractional, people usually only bet with good hands in protected pots, and the person folding usually has a poor hand that couldn't beat a bettor), but the next version will have an option to exclude these situations from analysis.

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It could easily distort results especially if you have a short stack. For instance you get allin preflop with TT against 2 opponents. One of them has AK, one of them has 88. An 8 comes...the player with the 8 eventually bets, and the AK folds. Your equity will be much higher than it should be.

Mainly, if you regularly have a shortish stack, and play a lot, your results will almost certainly say you have been slightly unlucky over the longrun (but maybe only once you get to like 200-500k hands), unless this is adjusted.

If you usually play with a full stack like a normal person, it probably won't matter much.
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