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Old 07-25-2007, 02:36 PM
CharlieDontSurf CharlieDontSurf is offline
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Default Re: A Female President: Is America ready?

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Rudy's pro-choice stance is what hurts him with the religious right.

Other than that, I have no idea why CDS gives him no chance. He will play the 9/11 card all the way, it is a good card.

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Even if the religious right doesn't like Rudy (or finds Mitt's Mormonism unacceptable) they would hold their nose and chose Rudy or Mitt over Obama, Hillary or any other Democrat (except perhaps Joe Biden). This means Rudy or Mitt wins most of the red states (especially those in the center of the country) anyway. Turnout will be low but it won't matter with the electoral college.

Meanwhile, Rudy or Mitt puts many blue states in play for the Republicans. Neither candidate is closely associated with Bush so he won't hurt them (and the best thing Bush can do for the Republican candidate is to stay uninvolved [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]).

Right now I put the Republicans as about a 3 to 2 favorite to win the oval office in 2008.

~ Rick

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No matter who the cand is the Dems are def not dogs they are favorites.
They are going to have a sizeable $$ advantage, they are in a change election, the are with the majority of the US in terms of the major issue-Iraq, many of the battleground states are trending towards Dems due to the hispanic revolt against the republican party and a majority of indep and moderate rep no longer identify themselves as repub.

Rudy has the best shot in a general but again..he will lose a ton of conservative republican votes...the notion that evangs will still mobilize over a guy who is pro abortion/pro gays/pro everything they hate is kind of silly
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