Re: Brian & Barry\'s prop bet
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One thing that folks have missed: Sorel and Justin's finishes are not independent, therefore their combined expectation is slightly less than the sum of their individual expectations.
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uhmmmm.... no. they're also not independent of barry's finish, so if they finish first and second, barry can't finish in the top 2.
it does not change the ev at all. the fact that sorel is in the tournament lowers justin's ev, and justin being in the tournament lowers sorel's ev, but since they're going to play the same tournaments anyway it makes no difference.
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