[Sherman]

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I can see what you're trying to say, but:

a) Us checking pretty much tells him we have whiffed overs.
b) He will shove a non A,K, non-club turn waaaaaaaay more, i.e. we're now getting the money in as an underdog not a 50/50 (roughly) shot.
c) Villian will fold pairs below 66 and maybe even 88/99 at least some % of the time on the flop if we bet.
d) By checking we let KQ, AJ push a J or Q turn or whatever and then we're an even bigger dog.

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But he will also check/fold some underpairs to a J or Q turn. Your point about him shoving non-A and non-K and non-club hands (although I really doubt he is afraid of clubs, hell he may even try to rep them!) still supports the fact that he will bluff-shove the turn with a variety of holdings in which case our A high is good.

Don't forget that the villain can't see our hand. You seem to be acting as if he can.