Re: Big Stacked AKs
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Why does everyone want to bet?
Is he calling with a worse hand? If so what are they?
Is he folding a better hand? If so which ones?
Is our hand vulnerable if it is ahead? If so to which hands that villain holds?
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1) Because either our hand is best or we're flipping, and we should have some FE on our bet.
2) I don't think we can expect a reasonable call from a worst hand, except for the random awful donk call from like a worse A that is just really confused.
3) I think we do have some FE against JJ especially, hands like 99 and 88 that just couldn't fold initially, maybe a nitty QQ, but probably not.
4) Our hand is vulnerable to under pairs, that we're now flipping with, when we brick the turn. Additionally, if we make a pair on the turn (or maybe a flush even,) we're likely to not get action from QQ and JJ, so it's not like we can get action from them on later streets. We may fold JJ lower pairs out on the flop, but if we brick the turn I'd say we have no FE against those hands, and indeed they're probably shoving a non A or K turn (JJ may check again if the turn is a queen, but QQ is probably also checking a turn Q, so that doesn't help us all that much. Additionally, turn Q means AQ got there, which makes it not the greatest card in the world to shove at, even if we could fold JJ.) Our hand isn't vulnerable to AQ, but I can't really imagine AQ putting more money in this hand while still behind unless like the Qc hits on the turn or something.
edit: Ok, I revised it, I still think it's a push, but it's closer than I thought initially.
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