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It has been brought to my attention that there is a broken link for Pokey's thread on breaking even over a 20k stretch. If anyone has this link or knows how to use the search function well enough to find it, your help would be appreciated.
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I think I PM'd this to you, but if people are looking for it, I believe what you are referring to is
this (thread also includes a Pokeylicious explanation of winrate probability and statistics).