Re: Dark All In--What Do You Call With?
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But remember, it's folded around as the OP put it. It's strictly a HU problem.
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These two statements are completely contradictory, which is why I'm so confident in my assertion above (despite the math being incredibly complex - way too complex for me to want to tackle). Q7o would be a profitable hand if this were solely a heads-up situation, but it's far from it. You have 8 people in between the Villain and yourself, each of which threw away a hand.
You don't know what any of them threw away, exactly, but you do know that not one of them had something good enough to call with. Card removal dictates that the Villain is therefore more likely to have a better hand than he would if you had no information about anyone else's hand (e.g. if you were heads-up, or even if you were next to act after the all-in).
Again, I don't know exactly how much more likely, but I can guarantee you it's enough to turn Q7o from profitable to unprofitable in this situation.
Am I making sense to anyone?
Mook
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