Re: [theory] good chances for call..
Ignoring loss of fold equity and just using ICM:
EV%(fold)=22.05
EV%(call/win)=32.67
EV%(call/lose)=15.86
The change in EV (relative to folding) is +10.62% for winning and -6.19% for losing.
So winning is 10.62/6.19 = 1.716 times better than losing, therefore you want a win% = 1/(1+1.716)= 36.82% (1 win per 1.716 losses)
Changing the situation to 5 handed (the 5th player having 10BBs) decreases the effect of the bubble, as a guess I would say you could call with ~0.5% less chance of winning.
Note that the bubble has only a small effect in this situation since you have your opponent well covered. If there were no blinds you would only need a ~53.7% to call an all in vs the SB.
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