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Old 07-13-2007, 12:37 AM
insanity31 insanity31 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 152
Default Re: Botting the WNBA Season...

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shrug, he bet it last night at +7 and it's down to +5.5 now

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For you to confidently say that CON has a 70% expectation at +7 they would have to win the game 60% of the time. If you're scratching your head at this point and wondering how in the hell +7 is only worth 10% then understand that the points only matter if CON loses, so when they lose 40% of the time each point is worth less than if CON lost a higher percentage of the time, and this is the percentage of the time they must lose to make the points probability and winning probability add up to 70%.

Anyway, if CON were to win 60% of the time then you bet the money line and call it a day. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

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What Horse [censored]!!!
Connecticut at this time in the season is playing as well as or better than any team in the WNBA. I would say they would beat Sacramento 7 out of 10 games at this time. Stay with Poker rookies because you obviously don't know squat about BBall. What a joke your number games are.
The Bot Tool is right on target

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lol...
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