[Performify]

i want to post more on this, and will weigh back in at some point, but don't have the time right now.

But i want to say this before the discussion goes too far.

This trend was published in two major general interest publications this year.

This alone may have been enough to kill the trend.


A (--------------------------------)completely uneducated gamblers
B (-----------------) "moderately literate" i.e. basic intenet, general interest mags, etc
C (------) "educated" gamblers
D (---) decent handicappers
E (-) "sharps" / pros

it used to be A+B > C+D+E
(we want to be on the "less than" side)

this year it swung to A < B+C+D+E thanks to the key swing votes of B moving to our side.

The combined weight of the semi-literate betting public moved the value out of these unranked teams thru the publication of our "system".

This is also why the favorites killed in the NFL this year (group B swung to the traditional underdog lines thus betting out the value of the other side).

just a hypothesis obviously not qualitiative.