[Easy E]

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Why not treat this year as the outlier, given the system's track record?

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That's where I'm leaning right now. However, a few things make me nervous:

- bridgejumper picks for the NFL. He had posted a 60%+ record for his A picks, and this year it got so bad he stopped updating his site.

- I worry a bit that the system was developed pre-Internet and now there may or may not be more information, more quickly available, that the books may have adjusted somewhat.

We'll know more next year.

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I thought the whole idea of systems is just that you bet any game that qualifies, and once you start picking and choosing your spots, you get in trouble.

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A coinflip system works the same way, doesn't it? [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

I'm sure NoChance is tired of me pestering him about the system this year [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img] but I'm just trying to get myself in line with the reasoning (home favs only, as opposed to all home unranked, etc)

I've never been a blind system betting person, which is why the BSPs drove me so crazy at first this year, in the "3+1". When natedogg revealed that it wasn't as blind-guessing as it seemed, I felt better about his "hold your nose and bet 'em" system.

I'd feel better if a "close eyes and bet" system could be used as a foundation for further handicapping, rather than the be-all of the betting. Betting against the public, and fading alongside the books somewhat, certainly has a strong appeal.

I may just need to learn to overcome my aversion to that concept and just close my eyes...

[i] or, maybe this is just my jealous backlash against NoChance, for the 3+1 results this year. Yes, envy is probably it. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]