Re: WSOP PLO8 hand
FWIW, I was playing to win (top 3). I was playing well, and if I were to catch a run of cards it was within reach. I half expected the field to be better players or somehow intimidating. They weren't, and they didn't. (2p2ers OWN PLO8. Although I am a mediocre player by the standards of this board, I am a superior player to most PLO8 lineups I saw live at WSOP. So, many thanks.)
There was no way I was folding this hand. The question preflop is call or push. I reasoned that villain would likely autopush anyway on the flop and with position I wanted the latitude to make a decision. And I thought that my fold equity was nil -- he was pot committed IMO.
This was about the worst sucker flop I could see with this hand. I can get away from this hand if I don't flop 2 pair with the aces. They way the hand played out, I think the money was going in either way. (Right?)
This was my key hand. I started to steal back but it was hard because (for an hour after this hand) when I was in the cutoff Devilfish and Chau Giang were the blinds. I know that this probably shouldn't matter, but they were playing back at everyone. And there was a lot of PFRing going on in front of me by holdem pros -- very little room to make moves.
And I did cash. Playing to cash was never a consideration -- I knew that even if I lost the hand I was highly likely to cash.
Villain did have A2 spades, and he did catch a low spade. It sucked, and it was high variance, and my EV=.382, but I don't see any other way than to call. Can anyone use numbers to criticize this logic?
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