[MrBlueNose]

That's something I'm looking to start calculating probably next month - once we've got a little bit more data to go on.

But(and bear in mind this is really just a cautious guess):

- With the old system, if it says the underdog is actually going to win, I'd play more units on that as it's been successful with that.
- With the old system, I'd look for spreads in the 3-6 point range, where it predicts a different outcome by 3 points or more.
- With the new system, I'll start giving the % it expects a team to cover. I had a lengthy discussion tonight with someone about this, and am going to drop the threshold from 60% to 58%. I'd say 65% and above, I would look into increasing units, especially when we hit 70% and above.

On that note, for the new systems picks for today New York is at exactly 65%, and Connecticut is at a whopping 77%.

But of course - remember the sample size [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] We're still treading water at this stage.