Re: Botting the WNBA Season...
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That's correct - the bet is on Houston to win outright. And you have to factor in the odds you're being given. For example if it predicts Houston to win 52% of the time, if you're betting at, approx. -103, thats going to be a breakeven bet over time(Assuming my bot was 100% correct in it's assumptions). Or to make it simpler - if it predicts Red Bull to win 25% of the time, the break even bet would be +300 or 3-1 on Red Bull to win outright. (And obviously we don't want to break even [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] ) So it's good to go line shopping. Like as I posted above, 10/11 at Ladbrokes isn't a good bet for the Houston prediction, while I managed to get 2.12 at Betfair which was a good bet.
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I've been taking what you said here into consideration with your WNBA bets. You post predictions but don't put them into context of whether or not they are worth betting, as we have to win 55% of the time to break even with -110 juice (right?). Clearly this is a math problem but I'm not sure how to compute whether or not a one or two point edge is a +EV bet, especially with no totals knowledge on the teams and what the expected amount of scoring is (I think this matters?). I.E a one point edge on a game that has an average of 200 total points is clearly different from one with an average of 150 total points.
Help me clarify this, thanks.
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