[Buzz]

[ QUOTE ]
Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (10SB, 5 players)
SB bets, Donger raises??

[/ QUOTE ]Donger - I hope not! This is a pulling situation. You don't want to push anybody out of the pot!

Since there is only one low card on the flop, your opponents will be reluctant enough to call a single bet, let alone a double bet.

Simply call and hope your remaining opponents think they have favorable odds to continue to a single bet with two of you already in the pot.

A raise here is terrible play, lacking the deft touch you need to be successful at this game.

It's 8/45 you'll catch a non-pairing club on the turn, and then, assuming the board doesn't pair on the turn, it's
36/45*7/44 you'll catch a non-pairing club on the river. That combines to make
0.178+0.127 = 0.305.

Meanwhile your back-door low comes in about one time out of four, something like that.
16*6+12*12 = 240, then 240/990 = 0.242, or about one time out of four.

There's enough in the pot for you to call a bet, and then if the board doesn't pair on the river, you can call another bet on the turn.

But in order to have favorable odds to initiate fresh money into the pot, I think in addition to BB calling your raise, you need three more opponents who will call a double bet with the threat of a re-raise here. I can't imagine that many Turkeys in a 15/30 game.

Buzz