[wacki]

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The bottom line is you are dramatically oversimplifying the situation. It's not a black and white answer.

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I'm not the one oversimplifying the situation. You are. You're the one that's coming up with black and white answers. The truth is what I said and it's a fact, the predictive value of climate models is unproven.

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Nothern but not southern polar amplification and stratospheric cooling (which are smoking guns of global warming) were predicted by the models. They were also observed. Those aspects of the models have been proved. There really isn't any other way to look at it.

Now move your eyes over to precipitation, aerosols, and glacier melt and there are big question marks.

You really can describe the accuracy of the models with one sentence much less one word.