Re: ** Event 48: $1,000 Limit 2 to 7 Triple Draw Lowball w/Rebuys **
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No sweat, most people over-value 2345. The code above is for a singe draw and doesn't factor dead cards of course and I assumed suits arent a factor in the hand, but its kind of shocking to see.
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The 3 draws definitely makes a difference.
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Oddly its barely a blip. lets say BugStud had 23459, the only pat hand he could make that would lose to villain's range of 3468. Villain is 1:4 favorite over three draws, and becomes a 1.44:1 dog with one draw remaining. Interesting isnt it? Of course Villain has zero outs if hero hits a 7 or an 8, but he has 10 outs if hero hits a 9. Conversely Villain has 3.64 weighted outs vs Bugstud if the hero hits a pat hand catching a 7,8 or 9, and is 5.24:1 against improving with 2 draws remaining.
four 6's kill the hero's hand, four 7's and three 8's help him win.
Villain needs one of three duces, three 5s or 4 sevens.
The hands are remarkably close in equity in a HU scenario.
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