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Old 06-27-2007, 09:11 AM
NickMPK NickMPK is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,626
Default Re: Event #39 - 50K HORSE

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For example 20 big bets in a $20/$40 game is only $800 and I would think anyone who's played $20/$40 (especially in LA) knows how fast that can go if you're running bad.

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You can go through that same $800 just as fast in a 5-10 NL game, if not 2-5.

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I agree. But losing 50 Big BLINDS (@ 5/10=$500) or even 100 Big BLINDS (@ 2/5=$500) for No-Limit in a full game in a short period of time doesn't/shouldn't happen that often.

However, I contend that losing 12.5 Big BETS ($500) in a $20/$40 game happens at a much higher frequency because you play more draws, call, and showdown more often.

So, in context of this $50K HORSE tourney, with the average stack at around 705K, that's about 17 Big Bets. That's not much play at all if you run slightly bad.

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OK, so the average HORSE stack is 34 big blinds. What do you think is typically the average stack on Day 4 of WPT Hold-em tournament? Isn't it usually around 30 big blinds? At the start of the last level Day 2 of this year's $5 NLHE tournament, the average stack was 20 big blinds. You can't compare this to a NLHE cash game; no one has 100 big blinds in a NLHE tournament after the second level.

And limit games play much smaller relative to the blind in any case. If you have 20 big bets in a limit game, you can basically play at least four hands before you must risk all your chips. If you have an average stack in a NL tournament, you could easily be out in a single hand.
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