Re: AK Move In Question
About $4500 and suitedness should make a diff because it drastically affects your equity against AA.. but that's just a quick response
Easy calculation if you make the simplifying assumption of:
1. No one other than initial raiser can ever have a good enough hand to call
2. Raising range of initial raiser is a typical tight one for UTG (AQs, AK, TT+)
3. Initial raiser will call with KK and AA
If I had more curiosity about the question I'd calculate it.. maybe I will later
edit: ok here's my calc
AQs, AK, TT+ when YOU have AK is 36 different possible combinations that he is raising with. He'll call with only KK and AA so that's only 6 combinations. He calls 1/6 of the time.
Your equity against AA/KK with AKo+AKs is 80/20
EV = 5/6*(200+200+200+25+50) - (1/6)*(0.8-0.2)(stack size)
Solve for stack size
562 - 0.1*stack size
So if your stack size is like 5.6k it becomes EV neutral
If you are specifically suited you can push for about 6.2k
If you are specifically unsuited you can only push for about 5.4k
This doesn't truly answer the question because you must evaluate this in comparison to the EV of playing the hand in other ways.
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