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Old 06-22-2007, 03:41 PM
betgo betgo is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 15,430
Default Re: WSOP $3k Decision vs. Howard Lederer

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Basically the situation is really good for HL for a resteal, as evidenced by nearly every option seeming awkward for us. Think about us having an even stronger hand like 99, it seems like a hard decision even then.

One thing I failed to note was that we were the 2 chipleaders at the table. So the combination of the awkward stacks, him pulling almost even with me, and him taking a stand to slow me down, make this a nearly perfect restealing opportunity for him.

However this assumes he gives me credit for understanding the situation myself (on the 1st level, but not on the 2nd level). Do you guys think he reads the average mid 20s player with a decent stack to understand that we are in a tough spot?
Thoughts?

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If you think HL has reason to make a play on you, then definately push. It is close in cEV anyway. I would be suspicious of any reraise from a big stack name pro.

Also, the result for you is extremely good if you reresteal or bust HL. If he folds, you have 26K and HL has 15K, giving you a dominating stack. If you win, you have 41K, totally dominating the table, and you got rid of a strong player to your left.
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