Re: Botting the WNBA Season...
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Sounds like a fun project. Posting your picks here is a good way to keep track of your W/L, but I know I personally would enjoy hearing about the various observations and tweaks you make to the model along the way. Please post as much or as little information as you would like to share. Good luck!
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I'll mostly be tracking the W/L via the program, because I'll write some stuff that'll provide a lot of detailed output other than just the W/L record, but I just like sharing this stuff on a public forum for a variety of reasons. It helps me track my progress I find writing it in public, rather than doing it all in private. And I'll definitely share any observations and tweaks as time goes on. Right now I'm probably going to just let it run for a month to see how things go and make sure there's no major hiccups, then analyze the data.
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Hope this works for you, but consider predicting the odds. For example: even the worst of teams (in most situations) shouldn't be predicted to win by more than 10 points a majority of the time. I know WNBA teams will get trashed from time to time, but you're going to have a tough time predicting this result over the long haul.
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This is something that I'm looking into. I'd eventually like it to output a lot of different data, also in relation to the over/under, so I can determine where the best value is.
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i appreciate the picks.... and there's so little objective info (i.e. NO sagarin) out there about WNBA that i'd be inclined to give sample size some leeway.
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Yeah I think there's enough people out there that like to bet no matter what, which was another reason I (a) wrote this, and (b) posted it [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
The line tonight is Sacramento Monarchs -4 vs Chicago Sky. Bot predicts Sacramento to win by 5 points, so Monarchs is the bet that the bot will be taking. Interestingly, if I tell it not to consider home/away records at all, it comes up with exactly -4 for Monarchs. I like when it predicts the spread almost exactly - feels like I am on the right track.
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