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Old 03-01-2006, 01:35 PM
NinjaMan NinjaMan is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 976
Default Re: Final Day of Feb 180/20 Challenge - Post Results - Final Day Sweat

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It is most likely due to good strategy, but the problem is that in the short term, sometimes variance could just as easily cause the good strategy to fail IMO. One month is short term. So, you could play the same way and not do as well next month, but in the long run your numbers will be very good.

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No offense, but this is pretty well known around these parts. I like what you have to say in other posts, though, so again, I mean no offense. However, variance doesn't say to itself, "Alright, let's hit this dude bad in February, but hit him well in March." Variance can last 10 hands, 10 MTTs, 10 days, etc. Variance can change from tournament to tournament, hand to hand. People will say "In the long term, variance evens out." If you look at every hand as a new opportunity, variance equals out over any length of term. Sure, on Monday you might go 0-6 in coinflips. That doesn't mean you'll be 6-6 on Tuesday. I know you know this, but I felt like cluttering this thread. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]
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