[Borodog]

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It sounds like you think all theories are equally valid which is not true, despite what schools are teaching kids these days. Some theories are stupid and don't deserve the same weight as other theories. "Blue goblins" falls into that camp. A first pass at determining if a theory is stupid or not is given by OR.

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Not equally valid, perhaps. But only because of things like OR. What possible measure can you use to tell me which of the two theories I mentioned above has a higher probability of being true?

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Probability?

The probability that I forgot where I put my keys is F, where F is less than 1. The probability that invisible blue goblins watched me is B, where B is less than 1. Hence BF < F. Hence F is more likely than BF.