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Old 06-15-2007, 01:12 AM
jimmyfingers jimmyfingers is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 299
Default Re: Is this a good prop bet ?

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bump jimmyfingers, good post

[/ QUOTE ]no it wasn't. the effect would be <0.1% if any at all. and there's reason for both sides. do you see flops more when aces are dealt because these hands enter pots or do you see less flops because these hands raise and end things preflop?

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obviously it depends on the game. what i said was simply to keep it in mind because it makes a difference, in some games moreso than others.

for example, look at heads up limit hold 'em. if there is one ace dealt, we know at least that one player will want to see a flop. if two aces are out, there's a good chance both will want to (if the aces are split), or a decent chance if both aces are with one player (at least one player will want to). three or more aces and a flop is guaranteed.

on the other hand, look at deuces. if one deuce is out it's less likely that player will want to see a flop. if two deuces, one player will want to see the flop if he has both, but if they're split it's unlikely both players will want to see a flop. if three deuces are out, one guy has a pair and another guy will have 2x. most 2x's won't see a flop (23, 24, 25, 26...).

i think it's obvious in this case that the aces will be less likely to flop.
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