Re: Correct river decision after villian check behind...
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I see your point, IME an aggro player will fire the turn here with big diamonds, that's why I'm ok bet/calling this river.
It's really player dependent IMO. I also find myself putting in more bets vs. a more aggro player on the flop/turn FWIW.
As is i like betting the river. Unless he will value bet a hand like 99 for me. Then I might check.
99 is calling btw if it's at the river. Any pair is. IMO AJ calls here and AK does too.
I think this is just a case of how people play at you maybe. When I get 3-bet on this flop, it's a crappy free card play a lot with a hand that wants a showdown.
If this is CO/BU then I could see J9 in his range a lot more too. I just feel like a bare flush draw like A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] checks this turn but if he DID have J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] he would be the turn a lot more.
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I like to start by assuming that my opponents play well. Against someone who plays well, the most likely hands given this flop/turn action are A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], followed by K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (though that's more likely to bet the turn IMO). And make no mistake, checking the turn is the right play with the AJ/AK [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] barring unusual opponent reads.
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