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Old 06-12-2007, 04:57 PM
Nate tha\\\' Great Nate tha\\\' Great is offline
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Default Re: Correct river decision after villian check behind...

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I have no idea why villain checked the turn. Most often it is becuz he has a draw like KJ or two diamonds. Will he have some other weak made hand? Possibly, but with no read Im convinced it is still best to assume he's on some kind of a draw the vast majority of the time and check/call the river to induce a bluff from some lesser hand and minimize our loss when he does indeed have two diamonds.

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Yeah, his hand feels like KJ (or J9s?) or a diamond draw to me most often, and it's correct to check against both of those (though for different reasons, of course). Something like KQ wouldn't shock me, but I think he'll usually talk himself into putting the value bet in for you if you check. Another possible hand is The Nuts (QQ, TT, QT), especially from an unknown opponent. So all of this is leaning very heavily toward a check and a call. The only hand that you really want to bet against is like AK, which (1) would have to have had put a lot of bad money in on the flop, (2) might not call if you bet; (3) might decide to turn its hand into a bluff if you check.
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