Re: Correct river decision after villian check behind...
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Villian appears to be pretty darn aggressive
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prett darn as in this hand? Or the last 50 hands? With the board paired and flushed one might turn Republican and go the conservative route...check/call. That river fits well with one possible draw. However, i like danza's thinking
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If he has diamonds, they're big ones. So I think he might bet them again on the turn.
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I think he checked the turn because he had no draw and he felt he was behind. Behind to a T or behind to a Q? That's not close for me. If he's got a hint of bite in him he's not scared of a T. He can't beat the Q. If he checked the turn because he was behind I'd have a hard time believing he'd raise with a worse hand on the river. So I don't give him a worse hand when he raises a river bet.
I think this is a scenario a la Sklansky where our villain will call our river bet more often than he will bet himself.
I bet/fold this river.
If I wasn't clear it's because I live in a strange fog!
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