Re: Live 100 NL, Turn raise with monster draw against PFR - good or ba
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And this thinking he has a set..... I can't even fathom that, sets are really really rare, and I woulnd't believe that someone has one without a LOT more evidence.
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Well, the thinking that he has a set comes with the combination of the oddity of not following through with a continuation bet on the flop and a broadway card flopping. I have seen that behavior so often, at least live, as a lot of ppl think that you never bet the nuts on the flop, especially headsup, so alarm bells immediately ring in my head when I see a check on the flop like that. On the other hand, as I mentioned in a previous post, there are some players who simply will not bet when they miss the flop, even headsup, or freeze up when an overcard to their pair flops, so it is not a foregone conclusion that he has {KK,AA,AK}.
Anyway, I acknowledge the problem with preflop but I was really getting to the turn situation when can occur regardless of preflop. For instance, if I was on the button and there were four other limpers and they all called the raise, I don't think too many would have a problem with a preflop call (at least I hope not). If they all folded the turn, the situation would be no different, except that the pot would be larger. However, you could imagine comparable scenarios with regard to bet sizes, etc.
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