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Old 06-03-2007, 05:40 PM
bilbo-san bilbo-san is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: In ur game, pickin off ur bluffz
Posts: 4,103
Default Re: SSNL [cheese] thread: JUNE 2007 (nc)

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I'm really surprised -10BI is supposed to be standard. I've only lost 10BI once ever, and I was on huge monkeytilt. Multiple swings around -5BI, though.

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I'm the same way.

TBH, I think we're missing a lot of marginally +EV bluffing situations that we don't make because they usually cost you a stack when you are picked off (i.e. our Cajones are small and shrivelled).

So let's say you've got a feel for it and you're making a lot of all-in bluffs where you're probably about +3-4 PTBB EV (on average) per hand (maybe less, just pulling a number outta my ass for illustration purposes). You're making a lot of money over the long term, but of course your variance is huge because you are basically swinging +/- a stack all the time.

For me, I know it's a bankroll issue. I need 40-50 buy-ins to start playing like a want to play.

For instance yesterday I opened for $15 with 66 in a live $3/$5 game and got 6 callers. Flop comes 693 and BB leads for $20 and gets a caller, I make it $120 and they fold. As this happened, it occurred to me that I should, of course, make the same bet with a [censored] shitton of hands, but of course, I don't, because I only have like 8 buyins for the game in my roll right now. Last year, before I cashed out to pay tuition, I would routinely bluff big in spots like this -- my roll was 25 buyins for that level and the money didn't matter as much.