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Old 06-02-2007, 03:54 AM
dave6 dave6 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: California
Posts: 145
Default Re: This is completely standard, right? 3 dollar rebuy on stars

You say UTG has been pretty quiet. I'd fold this.

If his range is 44-AA plus any subset of the unpaired hands you're racing against, you're about 50% against his range (44-88 is as likely as TT-AA). Assuming he always calls, you're racing for his stack plus $3k in dead money. If his range is actually narrower than this, or if the blinds ever wake up with a hand, you're probably losing chips in the long run. You need fold equity to make money here, and I don't see too many people in low buyin tournaments raising 4xBB from UTG and then folding to one reraiser.

OTOH, if he's been running over the table, go ahead and push.
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