Re: Live, deep, nuts on turn, bad river, call $4,000?
The small bet on the flop and the call of your raise really looks like a flopped set to me. I would guess 9's since he opened UTG with a pretty big raise. If he was thinking about check raising you on the turn, it also would indicate a set, but then he might have realized a straight card hit, or thought you would only call his check raise with a hand that beats him. With a big stack him leading out 4k doesn't mean to much, he probably doesn't think you have the flush, since you haven't been playing your hand like a flush draw. You have been playing your hand like 2 pair, trying to blow him out of the pot. I am inclined to think he has a set of 9's and he thinks they are probably good.
My 2 cents.
|