[King Yao]

"I am intriggued by ML versus points. as I shop for lines,(basketball playoffs in particular) I often much more variation in th eML even when the Points line is pretty much stable. It seems there must be a +EV opportunity here. Is there a correlation between ML and points line available? And whats your thoughts on this as a +EV opportunity? "

There should be a direct relationship between the pointspread and the money line. It may fluctuate based on the total though. For example, a high total game may have a relatively lower money line given the same pointspread as a low total game.

There are positive EV opportunities in ML vs pointspread. A prominent example is during the Super Bowl. The money line and the pointspread often doesn't line up correctly. The people betting on the underdog in the SB are more likely to bet on the moneyline than the people betting on the favorite. So the relationship gets skewed. During regular season games, it is less so, but I imagine there are opportunities here and there.