Re: Morgan Stanley says stocks could fall 10%
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Question for the statistically minded:
If you have an asset with a 17% standard deviation, how often can you say it will fall at least 10% in the next six months and end up being right on purely the basis of statistical fluctuation (incorrectly assuming a Gaussian dsd).
[/ QUOTE ]
what do you mean "end up being right"?
Barron
[/ QUOTE ]
i think he's referring to morgan stanley being right about their prediction. confused me too.
|