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Old 05-26-2007, 05:09 AM
DcifrThs DcifrThs is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
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Default Re: Morgan Stanley says stocks could fall 10%

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Question for the statistically minded:

If you have an asset with a 17% standard deviation, how often can you say it will fall at least 10% in the next six months and end up being right on purely the basis of statistical fluctuation (incorrectly assuming a Gaussian dsd).

[/ QUOTE ]

what do you mean "end up being right"?

Barron
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