Re: Something in the way
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You are wrong. It was a 30/60 game at the Wynn and the guy raised and bet at every opportunity. A rivered king would be a fold here too. You may not know the game but routinely missing your draw, catching a pair instead and paying it off is why I bet the river against the fish knowing they were on a draw. They can't help themselves.
-DeathDonkey
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I agree that this is a fold when the J comes off on the river, however I think vilian has AQ often enough for this to be a call when the river is a K. I realize of course that many mediocre players will check behind a lot when the river comes the K, but I see a decent number who do bet it as well (in norcal, I only played the wynn 30 game a couple times a year). Without a more specific read I think I pay off a river king.
Board: Qh Ts 4h 2c Kc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.667% 66.67% 00.00% 24 0.00 { QQ, TT, 44, AQs, KQs, QTs, AQo, KQo, QTo }
Hand 1: 33.333% 33.33% 00.00% 12 0.00 { KdJc }
Ok it looks like with this range the villian would need to bet AQ at least 1/4 of the time to break even with a river call.
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