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Old 05-25-2007, 04:30 PM
Scorpion Man Scorpion Man is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 615
Default Re: Morgan Stanley says stocks could fall 10%

Question for the statistically minded:

If you have an asset with a 17% standard deviation, how often can you say it will fall at least 10% in the next six months and end up being right on purely the basis of statistical fluctuation (incorrectly assuming a Gaussian dsd).
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