Re: Home run?
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I don't understand why we are trying to get in with our money behind.
I was curious so I ran the odds on if we are against 4 other ppl in the hand and they have JJ/QQ/KK/AA precisely. We have about 20% chance to win. AA has about a 38% chance to win.
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ding someone did some math and it's starting to make more sense the more cards they share the more our EV goes up. This hand is very math heavy I did it quickly at the table and came out roughtly ahead even in some worse case senarios i.e AKhh is out there.
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Just about to post the exact same thing Shaun. It's very likely several of these guys are sharing outs, plus the guy that folded, so it's probably higher than 20%. Buuut I still think this is is probably slightly -cEV but if the advantage of getting that big of a stack is worth it for you go for it.
This is an incredibly difficult math problem to actually solve, anyway, because of all the side pots involved.
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