[JaredL]

I'm working on getting all of the scenarios to get probabilities of winning the league using what you've done. Here are the tiebreakers:

All 4 - Real Madrid
Any 3 involving Real Madrid - Real Madrid
Barcelona, Sevilla, Valencia - Sevilla
Real Madrid - Barcelona - Real Madrid
Real Madrid - Sevilla - Sevilla barring a [censored] of goals from Real Madrid
Real Madrid - Valencia - Real Madrid
Barcelona - Sevilla - Barcelona
Barcelona - Valencia - Valencia
Sevilla - Valencia - Sevilla